
EUR/USD Technical Analysis . Support and Resistance line fort July 5th
Now In theory, after a strong upward movement like 2/07, usually EUR/USD must be going to downside first into 23.6% Fibs (1.2455); or 38.2% Fibs (1.2404) and maximal at 48.6% Fibs (1.2369) before this pair continues its strong upward motion. However if this pair can break 48.6% Fibs, the EUR/USD will continue to look for another support at 68.5% Fibs (1.2300) or 78.6% Fibs (1.2266). If this happens it means the upward movement of this pair will end and this pair seems start coming into a ranging situation again. Please pay attention to this day ; US Market will release Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate reports; please take care for trade this day. And this is the important intraday levels for this pair today:
Breakout Buy level : 1.2571.
Strong Resistance : 1.2564.
Original Resistance : 1.2552.
Inner Sell Area : 1.2540.
Target Inner Area : 1.2510.
Inner Buy Area : 1.2480.
Original Support : 1.2468.
Strong Support : 1.2456.
Breakout Sell level : 1.2448.
A lesson That brings back to the basics. :) here is where your journey as a Forex trader begins…
Two Types of Trading
There are 2 basic types of analysis you can take when approaching the forex:
1.Fundamental analysis
2.Technical analysis.
There has always been a constant debate as to which analysis is better, but to tell you the truth, you need to know a little bit of both. So let’s break each one down and then come back and put them together.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is a way of looking at the market through economic, social and political forces that affect supply and demand. (bla bla bla) In other words, you look at whose economy is doing well, and whose economy sucks. The idea behind this type of analysis is that if a country’s economy is doing well, their currency will also be doing well. This is because the better a country’s economy, the more trust other countries have in that currency. For example, the U.S. dollar has been gaining strength because the U.S. economy is gaining strength. As the economy gets better, interest rates get higher to control inflation and as a result, the value of the dollar continues to increase. In a nutshell, that is basically what fundamental analysis is.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis is the study of price movement. In one word, technical analysis = charts. The idea is that a person can look at historical price movements, and, based on the price action, can determine at some level where the price will go. By looking at charts, you can identify trends and patterns which can help you find good trading opportunities.
The most IMPORTANT thing you will ever learn in technical analysis is the trend! Many, many, many, many, many, many people have a saying that goes, “The trend is your friend”. The reason for this is that you are much more likely to make money when you can find a trend and trade in the same direction. Technical analysis can help you identify these trends in its earliest stages and therefore provide you with very profitable trading opportunities.
So which type of analysis is better?
Ahh, the million dollar question. Throughout your journey as an aspiring Forex trader you will find strong advocates for both fundamental and technical trading. You will have those who argue that it is the fundamentals alone that drive the market and that any patterns found on a chart are simply coincidence. On the other hand, there will be those who argue that it is the technicals that traders pay attention to and because traders pay attention to it, common market patterns can be found to help predict future price movements.
Do not be fooled by these one sided extremists! One is not better than the other...
In order to become a true Forex master you will need to know how to effectively use both types of analysis. Don't believe me? Let me give you an example of how focusing on only one type of analysis can turn into a disaster.
•Let’s say that you’re looking at your charts and you find a good trading opportunity. You get all excited thinking about the money that’s going to be raining down from the sky. You say to yourself, “Man, I’ve never seen a more perfect trading opportunity. I love my charts.”
•You then proceed to enter your trade with a big fat smile on your face (the kind where all your teeth are showing).
•But wait! All of a sudden the trade makes a 30 pip move in the OTHER DIRECTION! Little did you know that there was an interest rate decrease for your currency and now everyone is trading in the opposite direction.
•Your big fat smile turns into mush and you start getting angry at your charts. You throw your computer on the ground and begin to pulverize it. You just lost a bunch of money, and now your computer is broken. And it’s all because you completely ignored fundamental analysis.
(Note: This was not based on a real story. This did not happen to me. I was never this naive. I was always a smart trader.... From the overused sarcasm, I think you get the picture)
Alright so the story was a little over-dramatized, but you get the point.
The Forex is like a big flowing ball of energy, and within that ball is a balance between fundamental and technical factors that play a part in determining where the market will go. Just remeber never to rely on just one. Instead, you must learn to balance the use of both of them, because it is only then that you can really get the most out of your trading.
Tomorrow I promise or if not tonight to teach you all about the diffenent charts. All this information I have researched and applied this information to my everyday trading. And In my E book Sarah's Forex Trading Back to Basics which will be up for sale sortly .
Take care and I will get those diffent charts for you within a few hours. I have to feed Hannah and Emma some lunch ! Once again Have a great break!